G. Kirchgassner et J. Wolters, DOES THE DM DOMINATE THE EURO MARKET - AN EMPIRICAL-INVESTIGATION, Review of economics and statistics, 75(4), 1993, pp. 773-778
Starting point is the ''German Dominance Hypothesis,'' according to wh
ich Germany has a dominant position within the EMS. This makes it impo
ssible for other member countries to pursue their own monetary policie
s. Using monthly data of three-month Euro market rates from 1980 to 19
88, for the U.S., Germany, the U.K., the Netherlands, France and Italy
, we test this hypothesis in a multivariate cointegration framework. W
e find that Germany has a strong position in Europe, which is not rest
ricted to the EMS. Concerning long-run development, one might speak of
a dominant position. However, there are short-run relations between E
uropean countries which are not linked to relations with Germany.