An evaluation of the hydrogen explosion hazard during severe accidents
is made using recent experimental and theoretical results. It is poss
ible to estimate geometric conditions under which detonations can prop
agate for a given mixture composition on the basis of detonation cell
size data. Multidimensional modelling is suggested to improve the desc
ription of detonation propagation conditions. The conditions of sponta
neous detonation or strong explosion processes' initiation including a
deflagration-to-detonation transition (DDT) and a detonation self-ini
tiation mode in non-uniform mixtures (the shock wave amplification by
coherent energy release mechanism) are analysed. Detonation self-initi
ation is considered as the part of the DDT process that determines the
minimum detonation formation distance. The evaluation of this distanc
e in the self-initiation mode is suggested for various mixture composi
tions on the basis of the values of minimum initiation energy or deton
ation cell width. This approach gives the possibility of hydrogen expl
osion hazard estimation in spite of the many uncertainties and importa
nt unresolved questions about the DDT and spontaneous detonation.