La. Bebchuk et C. Fershtman, INSIDER TRADING AND THE MANAGERIAL CHOICE AMONG RISKY PROJECTS, Journal of financial and quantitative analysis, 29(1), 1994, pp. 1-14
The concern of this paper is with the effects of insider trading on ex
ante managerial behavior. Specifically, the paper focuses on how insi
der trading affects insiders' choice among investment projects. Other
things equal, insider trading leads insiders to choose riskier investm
ent projects, because increased volatility of results enables insiders
to make greater trading profits if they learn these results in advanc
e of the market. This effect might be beneficial, however, because ins
iders' risk aversion pulls them toward a conservative investment polic
y. Insiders' choices of projects are identified and compared with insi
der trading and those without such trading. Using these results, the c
onditions under which insider trading increases or decreases corporate
value by affecting the choice of projects with uncertain returns are
identified.