E. Meland et al., ASSESSMENT OF CORONARY HEART-DISEASE RISK .1. A POSTAL INQUIRY AMONG PRIMARY-CARE PHYSICIANS, Family practice, 11(2), 1994, pp. 117-121
The purpose of the present study was to examine general practitioners'
abilities to make a correct estimation of the risk of coronary heart
disease (CHD). A 10% random sample of Norwegian primary care physician
s (n = 288) received a questionnaire that presented 10 case histories
containing information about five CHD risk factors. The respondents' r
isk estimation was compared with a composite score computed from epide
miologic data. The observed general tendency was towards underestimati
ng the CHD risk. However, 'high-risk' histories were recognized as CHD
risk persons. Assessment of CHD risk due to multiple marginal abnorma
lities was only exceptionally correct. Hypercholesterolaemia and hyper
tension in men were acknowledged as contributing to clinically signifi
cant CHD risk only by a minority of GPs. Heavy smoking and a positive
family history were associated with a more accurate estimation of CHD
risk. Forty per cent of the physicians did not recognize the sex depen
dency of cholesterol as a CHD risk factor. None of the physician chara
cteristics could predict variation in correct risk assessment.