S. Ghatak et al., EXPORTS, EXPORT COMPOSITION AND GROWTH - COINTEGRATION AND CAUSALITY EVIDENCE FOR MALAYSIA, Applied economics, 29(2), 1997, pp. 213-223
This paper comprehensively tests the export-led growth (ELG) hypothesi
s for Malaysia for the period 1955-90, using cointegration and causali
ty testing based on Hsiao's synthesis of the Granger test and Akaike's
minimum final prediction error criterion. The results provide support
for the ELG hypothesis; aggregate exports Granger-cause real GDP and
non-export GDP. This relationship is found to be driven by manufacture
d exports rather than by traditional exports.