Da. Elizondo et al., NEURAL-NETWORK MODELS FOR PREDICTING FLOWERING AND PHYSIOLOGICAL MATURITY OF SOYBEAN, Transactions of the ASAE, 37(3), 1994, pp. 981-988
It is important for farmers to know when various plant development sta
ges occur for making appropriate and timely crop management decisions.
Although computer simulation models have been developed to simulate p
lant growth and development, these models have not always been very ac
curate in predicting plant development for a wide range of environment
al conditions. The objective of this study was to develop a neural net
work model to predict flowering and physiological maturity for soybean
(Glycine max L. Merr.). An artificial neural network is a computer so
ftware system consisting of various simple and highly interconnected p
rocessing elements similar to the neuron structure found in the human
brain. A neural network model was used because it has the capabilities
to identify relationships between variables of rather large and compl
ex data bases. For this study, field-observed flowering dates for the
cultivar 'Bragg' from experimental studies conducted in Gainesville an
d Quincy, Florida, and Clayton, North Carolina, were used Inputs consi
dered for the neural network model were daily maximum and minimum air
temperature, photoperiod, and days after planting or days after flower
ing. The data sets were split into training sets to develop the models
and independent data sets to test the models. The average relative er
ror of the test data sets for date of flowering prediction was + 0.143
days (n = 21, R2 = 0.987) and for date of physiological maturity pred
iction was + 2.19 days (n = 21, R2 = 0.950). It can be concluded from
this study that the use of neural network models to predict flowering
and physiological maturity dates is promising and needs to be explored
further.