This is the second article in the series on USES, the Uniform System f
or the Evaluation of Substances. In USES, hazards are expressed as PEC
/NEC ratios, the Predicted Environmental Concentration, divided by the
No-Effect Concentration. This article describes the extrapolation met
hods used to derive concentrations that are assumed to be ''safe'' (No
-Effect Concentrations, NECs, or No-Effect Levels, NELs) for the group
s to be protected: humans, aquatic ecosystems and terrestrial ecosyste
ms including top predators, and sewage treatment plant functioning. Fo
r ecosystems, extrapolation factors of 10, 100 or 1000 are used (accor
ding to a modification of the EPA method), but if at least 4 experimen
tal No-Observed Effect Concentrations (NOECs) are known, a statistical
method is used (Aldenberg and Slob). Alternatively, the extrapolation
factors as proposed in the EC Guidance Document for new substances ca
n be used. For humans, usually no extrapolation is carried out, and th
e experimental test data of mammals are compared directly to the expos
ure level to create Margin Of Safeties (MOS). This procedure leaves mo
re room for expert judgement than a rigid extrapolation factor approac
h. For hazard ranking, No-Effect Levels for humans is derived, making
use of fixed extrapolation factors of 10, 100, 1000 or 10000, dependin
g on the type of data available. The NECs and NELs will be applied in
the hazard and risk characterization stage of USES.