J. Gruber et J. Poterba, TAX INCENTIVES AND THE DECISION TO PURCHASE HEALTH-INSURANCE - EVIDENCE FROM THE SELF-EMPLOYED, The Quarterly journal of economics, 109(3), 1994, pp. 701-733
The Tax Reform Act of 1986 introduced a new tax subsidy for health ins
urance purchases by the self-employed. We analyze the changing pattern
s of insurance demand before and after tax reform to generate new esti
mates of how the after-tax price of insurance affects the discrete cho
ice of whether to buy insurance. We employ both traditional regression
models and difference-in-difference methods that compare changes in i
nsurance coverage across groups around TRA86. The results from our mos
t carefully controlled comparison suggest that a 1 percent increase in
the cost of insurance coverage reduces the probability that a self-em
ployed single person will be insured by 1.8 percentage points.