A STATISTICAL-MODEL FOR PLANNING AN EDUCATION SYSTEM

Education activity is becoming complex and planning its development mo re difficult. This complexity is pronounced in developing countries su ch as Kenya, where a population explosion is imminent. In order to stu dy this phenomenon, mathematical modelling was applied as a means of i mproving the Kenya primary education system. The suggested stochastic model and in particular the homogenous Markov chain model provides ind ication for the future expected pupil enrollment, requirement of staff and capital and pupil performance in the national examinations.