I. Bartels et U. Sancken, PRENATAL RISK INDEX FOR FETAL DOWN-SYNDRO ME BY SERUM MARKERS, Zeitschrift fur Geburtshilfe und Perinatologie, 198(4), 1994, pp. 153-154
5 years ago, maternal serum markers have been established for individu
al risk estimation of fetal Down syndrome. Recently Bent et al. presen
ted an arbitrary age-independent risk index. Compared to the commonly
applied statistical approach a 20% increase in detection rate was obta
ined by using the index (85% versus 65%). We recalculated data from 19
333 prospectively investigated pregnancies without trisomy 21 and 57 p
regnancies with fetal Down syndrome using the proposed risk index. At
the corresponding false-positive rate (7,9%) the age-independent detec
tion rate was only 56%. This result indicates that the sensitivity can
not be increased by the Ulm index, when compared to statistical method
s of risk estimation.