Ra. Henry et Oj. Strickland, PERFORMANCE SELF-PREDICTIONS - THE IMPACT OF EXPECTANCY STRENGTH AND INCENTIVES, Journal of applied social psychology, 24(12), 1994, pp. 1056-1069
Performance self-predictions represent an individual's anticipated lev
el of performance on an upcoming task. This study focused on the accur
acy of these predictions, as well as subjective reactions to making th
em under varying expectancy and incentive conditions. Results indicate
that performance-contingent incentives had a positive effect on task
performance, but a negative effect on preferences for making performan
ce predictions. Expectancy strength also influenced these predictions,
their subjective interpretations, and task performance. Additional re
sults address the role of other task-relevant judgments (e.g., self-as
sessed ability and intended effort) when predicting one's performance
on a task. Implications of these findings for work motivation and judg
ment accuracy are discussed.