In two independent studies using different approaches and covering Wes
t Berlin and Bavaria, respectively, highly significant temporal cluste
rs of Down syndrome were found. Both sharp increases occurred in areas
receiving relatively low Chernobyl fallout and concomitant radiation
exposures. Only for the Berlin cluster was fallout present at the time
of the affected meioses, whereas the Nuremberg cluster preceded the r
adioactive contamination by 1 month. Hypotheses on possible causal rel
ationships are compared. Radiation from the Chernobyl accident is an u
nlikely factor, because the associated cumulative dose was so low in c
omparison with natural background. Microdosimetric considerations woul
d indicate that fewer than 1 in 200 oocyte nuclei would have experienc
ed an ionizing event from Chernobyl radioactivity. Given the lack of u
nderstanding of what causes Down syndrome, other than factors associat
ed with increased maternal age, additional research into environmental
and infectious risk factors is warranted. (C) 1997 by Radiation Resea
rch Society.