Twenty-eight pedigrees were ascertained through pairs of first-degree
relatives diagnosed with rheumatoid arthritis (RA). RA was confirmed i
n 77 pedigree members including probands; the absence of disease was v
erified in an additional 261 pedigree members. Pedigree members were s
erologically typed for HLA. We used likelihood analysis to statistical
ly characterize the HLA-linked RA susceptibility locus. The genetic mo
del assumed tight linkage to HLA. The analysis supported the existence
of an HLA-linked RA susceptibility locus, estimated the susceptibilit
y allele frequency as 2.16%, and estimated the lifetime penetrance as
41% in male homozygotes and as 48% in female homozygotes. Inheritance
was recessive in males and was nearly recessive in females. In additio
n, the analysis attributed 78% of the variance within genotypes to gen
etic or environmental effects shared by siblings. The genetic model in
ferred in this analysis is consistent with previous association, linka
ge, and familial aggregation studies of RA. The inferred HLA-linked RA
susceptibility locus accounts for approximately one-half of familial
RA, although it accounts for only approximately one-fifth of the RA in
the population. Although other genes may account for the remaining fa
milial RA, a large portion of RA cases may occur sporadically.