Despite improved surgical techniques there is still a risk of mortalit
y in elective general surgery. In a prospective study preoperative dat
a from 3250 patients were collected and compared with postoperative sy
stemic complications, using univariate chi(2) analysis, Highly signifi
cant (P<0.00001) variables were subjected to stepwise logistic regress
ion analysis. The severity of operative procedure, higher American Soc
iety of Anesthesiologists (ASA) grade, symptoms of respiratory disease
and malignancy were found to be significant risk factors predicting p
ostoperative morbidity (P<0.05). Using these four variables, a simple
preoperative risk scoring system has been defined. Class A (up to 5 po
ints) was defined as a low-risk group (systemic complication rate 5.0
per cent), class B (5-7 points) was intermediate risk (systemic compli
cation rate 17.9 per cent) and class C (8-10 points) was high risk (sy
stemic complication rate 33.3 per cent), Patients at high risk for per
ioperative and postoperative complications are more likely to be ident
ified by this analysis than by using the ASA classification alone.