PREDICTION ADJUSTMENTS FOR ASYMMETRIC QUADRATIC LOSS WITH A GAUSSIAN PROCESS

Authors
Citation
M. Cain, PREDICTION ADJUSTMENTS FOR ASYMMETRIC QUADRATIC LOSS WITH A GAUSSIAN PROCESS, The Journal of the Operational Research Society, 45(10), 1994, pp. 1179-1184
Citations number
6
Categorie Soggetti
Management,"Operatione Research & Management Science","Operatione Research & Management Science
ISSN journal
01605682
Volume
45
Issue
10
Year of publication
1994
Pages
1179 - 1184
Database
ISI
SICI code
0160-5682(1994)45:10<1179:PAFAQL>2.0.ZU;2-D
Abstract
This paper presents a table of values of an adjustment factor to be us ed in predicting future values of a Gaussian process in the presence o f asymmetric quadratic loss and which are helpful in the control of su ch a process. It is shown that in this case the optimal prediction is merely an additive adjustment to the conditional mean, the adjustment being the product of the standard deviation and the appropriate tabula ted value.