Trajectory calculations using horizontal winds from the U.K. Meteorolo
gical Office data assimilation system and vertical velocities from a r
adiation calculation are used to simulate the three-dimensional motion
of air through the stratospheric polar vortex for Northern Hemisphere
(NH) and Southern Hemisphere (SH) winters since the launch of the Upp
er Atmosphere Research Satellite. Throughout the winter, air from the
upper stratosphere moves poleward and descends into the middle stratos
phere. In the SH lower to middle stratosphere, strongest descent occur
s near the edge of the polar vortex, with that edge defined by mixing
characteristics. The NH shows a similar pattern in late winter, but in
early winter strongest descent is near the center of the vortex, exce
pt when wave activity is particularly strong. Strong barriers to latit
udinal mixing exist above about 420 K throughout the winter. Below thi
s, the polar night jet is weak in early winter, so air descending belo
w that level mixes between polar and middle latitudes. In late winter,
parcels descend less and the polar night jet moves downward, so there
is less latitudinal mixing. The degree of mixing in the lower stratos
phere thus depends strongly on the position and evolution of the polar
night jet and on the amount of descent experienced by the air parcels
; these characteristics show considerable interannual variability in b
oth hemispheres. The computed trajectories provide a three-dimensional
picture of air motion during the final warming. Large tongues of air
are drawn off the vortex and stretched into increasingly long and narr
ow tongues extending into low latitudes. This vortex erosion process p
roceeds more rapidly in the NH than in the SH. In the lower stratosphe
re, the majority of air parcels remain confined within a lingering reg
ion of strong potential vorticity gradients into December in the SH an
d April in the NH, well after the vortex breaks up in the midstratosph
ere.