Ae. Donnenfeld et al., PROSPECTIVE MULTICENTER STUDY OF 2ND-TRIMESTER NUCHAL SKINFOLD THICKNESS IN UNAFFECTED AND DOWN-SYNDROME PREGNANCIES, Obstetrics and gynecology, 84(5), 1994, pp. 844-847
Objective: To determine the distribution of nuchal skinfold thickness
in normal and Down syndrome pregnancies and to evaluate the use of thi
s sonographic measurement as a screening test for fetal Down syndrome.
Methods: A prospective, multicenter, population-based study was perfo
rmed by experienced obstetric sonographers on 1382 women with sonograp
hically normal fetuses undergoing second-trimester amniocentesis for t
he indication of advanced maternal age. A standard, well-defined sonog
raphic image was obtained at all collaborating centers. The distributi
ons of nuchal skinfold thickness were compared between euploid and Dow
n syndrome fetuses. Results: There were 1346 chromosomally normal preg
nancies, 13 fetuses with Down syndrome (1:106), and 23 other chromosom
e abnormalities. Seventeen fetuses had measurements of 6 mm or greater
, and one of these had Down syndrome. The median nuchal skinfold thick
ness in Down syndrome was 3.2 mm and in euploid fetuses was 3.1 mm. By
the Mann-Whitney rank-sum test, there was no statistically significan
t difference in nuchal skinfold between the euploid and Down syndrome
fetuses (P = .5). Overall, using a nuchal skinfold thickness of 6 mm o
r greater as a screening test, the detection rate for Down syndrome wa
s one of 13 (8%), the false-positive rate was 16 of 1382 (1.2%), the p
ositive predictive value was one of 17 (6%), and the probability of de
tecting Down syndrome was 6.5%. Conclusion: In this investigation, exc
ess nuchal skinfold thickness was a poor and unreliable screening test
for Down syndrome.