A model of mutation-selection-drift balance incorporating pleiotropic
and dominance effects of new mutations on quantitative traits and fitn
ess is investigated and used to predict the amount and nature of genet
ic variation maintained in segregating populations. The model is based
on recent information on the joint distribution of mutant effects on
bristle traits and fitness in Drosophila melanogaster from experiments
on the accumulation of spontaneous and P element-induced mutations. T
hese experiments suggest a leptokurtic distribution of effects with an
intermediate correlation between effects on the trait and fitness. Mu
tants of large effect tend to be partially recessive while those with
smaller effect are on average additive, but apparently with very varia
ble gene action. The model is parameterized with two different sets of
information derived from P element insertion and spontaneous mutation
data, though the latter are not fully known. They differ in the numbe
r of mutations per generation which is assumed to affect the trait. Pr
edictions of the variance maintained for bristle number assuming param
eters derived from effects of P element insertions, in which the propo
rtion of mutations with an effect on the trait is small, fit reasonabl
y well with experimental observations. The equilibrium genetic varianc
e is nearly independent of the degree of dominance of new mutations. H
eritabilities of between 0.4 and 0.6 are predicted with population siz
es from 10(4) to 10(6), and most of the variance for the metric trait
in segregating populations is due to a small proportion of mutations (
about 1% of the total number) with neutral or nearly neutral effects o
n fitness and intermediate effects on the trait (0.1-0.5 sigma(P)). Mu
ch of the genetic variance is contributed by recessive or partially re
cessive mutants, but only a small proportion (about 10%) of the geneti
c variance is dominance variance. The amount of apparent selection on
the trait itself generated by the model is very small. If a model is a
ssumed in which all mutation events have an effect on the quantitative
trait, the majority of the genetic variance is contributed by deleter
ious mutations with tiny effects on the trait. If such a model is assu
med for viability, the heritability is about 0.1, independent of the p
opulation size.