The timely distinction between infants with necrotizing enterocolitis
(NEC) who need surgery and those who are likely to recover with medica
l management is important, but it may be difficult clinically. Because
pneumoperitoneum is not always present, additional markers of bowel g
angrene are needed. Among 73 babies managed for NEC over the study per
iod, 49 (67%) met the study criteria of Bell's stage > 1, and their re
cords were reviewed to determine the usefulness of common laboratory t
ests in predicting outcome. The patients were divided into three group
s based on management. Group 1 (7 patients) required surgery at the ti
me of initial presentation because of pneumoperitoneum. The remaining
42 patients were initially managed medically, 19 of whom (group 2) rec
overed successfully; the other 23 (group 3) required surgery. The comb
ination of certain laboratory tests, ie, white blood cell count (WBC),
immature:total neutrophil ratio (I:T), platelet count (PLT), and base
excess (BE), was of significance in distinguishing between infants wh
o would need surgery and those who would recover with medical therapy
(group 3 v group 2) 4 to 12 hours or 12 to 24 hours after the diagnosi
s of NEC was established. A scoring scale was developed, with a point
for each of the following: WBC < 9,000/mm(3), I:T > .5, PLT < 200,000/
mm(3), and BE less than or equal to -2. A score of greater than or equ
al to 3 during 4 to 12 hours after diagnosis of NEC strongly predicted
the presence of surgical disease (positive predictive value, 100%; ne
gative predictive value, 76%; specificity, 100%; sensitivity, 64%). Th
is scoring scale, along with clinical course, can assist in determinin
g the need for surgery in a timely manner. Copyright (C) 1994 by W.B.
Saunders Company