Recent models of addiction posit that drug outcome expectancies are in
fluential determinants of drug use. The current research examines the
dimensional structure, predictive validity, and discriminant validity
of expectancies for cigarette smoking in a prospective study. There wa
s a good fit between the factor structure of the Smoking Consequences
Questionnaire and the observed data. In addition, the internal consist
ency of each scale was satisfactory. Moreover, there was considerable
evidence for the predictive and discriminant validity of expectancies.
Expectancies of positive outcomes (positive reinforcement, negative r
einforcement, and appetite-weight control) predicted withdrawal severi
ty. Negative reinforcement expectancies and expectancies of negative c
onsequences predicted cessation success. Predictive relations remained
significant after controlling for related constructs: negative affect
, stress, and dependence measures.