CHINA - TOWARDS SUPERPOWER STATUS OR DISS OLUTION

Superpower status or dissolution are the two extreme scenarios for Chi na discussed in the article. Both alternatives will have far-reaching consequences also for the outside world. The future development of Chi na is closely connected to the results of the Dengist reforms. The mai n argument is that the Chinese leaders of today are dependent on a ste ady and strong economic growth if they will avoid unrest among the peo ple. As China is integrated in world capitalism, its economy will seek expansion outside China. And there exists a 'nationalistic' tradition in China that may legitimize expansionism. Organized political opposi tion is almost non-existent and is not expected to play any important role in the near future.