P. Tousignant et al., OUTMIGRANT ASCERTAINMENT FOR BIAS ASSESSMENT IN ENVIRONMENTAL EPIDEMIOLOGY, International journal of epidemiology, 23(5), 1994, pp. 1091-1098
Background. In the summer of 1985, the McGill Epidemiology Rapid Respo
nse Unit undertook a study comparing two areas exposed to emissions of
'sour gas' refineries to an unexposed area. One operational objective
of the project was the identification and survey of all the people wh
o had lived in the study area but had since moved (outmigrants). Metho
ds. We estimated the number of outmigrants (people who had ever lived
in the area during the period 1957 to 1985) to be 3363 by using inform
ation obtained from our cross-sectional survey and from population sta
tistics for the area of interest. Ten different methods combined lead
to the identification of approximately 87% of all the outmigrants who
left the study area during that period. We used Vital statistics to id
entify the outmigrants who had died and mailed questionnaires to obtai
n the necessary information from the others. Results. We confirmed the
vital status of approximately 46% of them (1532/3363). The results fr
om the outmigrant survey showed that they were younger than area resid
ents, that they experienced lower rates of heart disease and hypertens
ion and that they had moved for health reasons in only 1.3% of the cas
es. These findings were similar across comparison areas. Conclusion. W
e concluded that there was no effect due to migration bias on the cros
s-sectional study results. This evidence considerably strengthened the
conclusions regarding the effects of exposure, a benefit that largely
justified the cost of identifying and surveying the outmigrants.