Theory is presented and subsequently validated by computer simulation
for predicting the difference in response to family and sib selection
during selfing. The response is measured by the change in mean and var
iance of the distribution of inbred lines due to selection. A combined
measure of the response is also given by the proportion of lines scor
ing higher or lower than a given target. Simulation of a highly herita
ble character under simple genetic control demonstrated the reliabilit
y of the theory. However, with a character of moderate heritability in
volving additive and nonadditive effects, and experimental sizes more
common in practice, the differences between family and sib selection p
roved to be small. This was further confirmed by the sampling variatio
n of the responses.