Kw. Nicholls et Jg. Paren, EXTENDING THE ANTARCTIC METEOROLOGICAL RECORD USING ICE-SHEET TEMPERATURE PROFILES, Journal of climate, 6(1), 1993, pp. 141-150
Two vertical ice temperature profiles from locations in the Antarctic
Peninsula unaffected by meltwater are presented. A simple time-depende
nt heat diffusion-advection model is used to infer broad surface tempe
rature variations in the Antarctic Peninsula over the century prior to
the start of local meteorological records. Air temperature records fr
om two representative meteorological stations (Faraday and Halley) are
used to determine the ice surface boundary conditions in the later st
ages of the model runs. Earlier temperature histories are then devised
to provide best fits between the modeled and observed ice temperature
profiles. Results of the modeling suggest that the surface temperatur
e in the Antarctic Peninsula dropped by 1.6-degrees +/- 0.2-degrees-C
between the beginning of the nineteenth century and the start of the F
araday record in 1944. On time scales of several decades the Faraday a
ir temperature record began during a period colder than the average, a
nd temperatures in the early 1800s were probably very similar to those
of today. The use of an air temperature history derived from an oxyge
n isotope record that was taken from one of the sites is shown to prov
ide a rather poor fit to the ice temperature profile measured at that
site.