F. Bonnieux et al., POTENTIAL BENEFITS OF BIOTECHNOLOGY IN AQUACULTURE - THE CASE OF GROWTH-HORMONES IN FRENCH TROUT FARMING, Technological forecasting & social change, 43(3-4), 1993, pp. 369-379
Against the background of rapidly increasing fish demand and stagnant
or declining marine harvest, aquaculture or fish farming has assumed a
major role in France which is set to expand. Trout farming in particu
lar has already displayed considerable growth and France is the leadin
g producer in the EEC. Biotechnology holds the key to future changes i
n trout culture. One such technology, which trials show has potential
to reduce production costs, is recombinant trout growth hormone (rtGH)
. This paper sets out to perform a preliminary ex ante assessment of t
he possible social benefits from the adoption of rtGH by French trout
producers. Several scenarios, based on possible hypotheses of supply a
nd demand growth, are considered. Scenarios assuming an association of
the technology with diversification towards more highly processed tro
ut products display the highest estimated welfare gains. A key factor
which will determine the outcome of using rtGH is its acceptance by th
e public. There has already been strong adverse reaction in Europe to
the use of genetically engineered growth hormones in meat production a
nd to the use of bovine somatotropin to enhance milk yields. The possi
bility that there might be a similar response in the case of trout is
examined by considering the possibility of a sharp drop in demand. Par
t 1 of the paper sets out the economic and technological background to
biotechnological development of trout farming in France. Part 2 under
takes an ex ante assessment of potential changes in producer and consu
mer surplus from the adoption of rtGH applying alternative supply and
demand shifts in the framework of partial equilibrium analysis.