The positive predictive value of mammography in nonpalpable malignancy
, only 20 to 25 per cent, could be improved with better mammographic c
riteria for lesions not requiring biopsy. The outcomes of 89 patients
with indeterminate lesions were reviewed to determine whether these le
sions could be managed safely by observation rather than biopsy. Indet
erminate lesions were defined as 1) tightly clustered, nonlinear calci
fications (>5 within 1 cm of tissue); 2) dominant, well-circumscribed
soft-tissue masses (less-than-or-equal-to cm2); or 3) asymmetric densi
ty. Lesions not immediately undergoing biopsy were followed with frequ
ent-interval mammography. Twenty-two lesions (26%) underwent immediate
biopsy, and 2 of these demonstrated carcinoma in situ with microinvas
ion. Sixty-seven lesions (74%) were observed (median follow-up, 34 mon
ths), and 2 (2.5%) proved to be malignant, for an overall malignancy r
ate of 4.5 per cent. All malignancies were stage I, and the patients r
emain alive with no evidence of disease (average follow-up, 24 months)
. Sixty patients were spared unnecessary biopsy, decreasing potential
wire-directed biopsies by 25 per cent. The positive predictive value o
f mammography increased from 21 to 32 per cent over the period. Indete
rminate lesions can be safely followed with frequent ipsilateral mammo
graphy, reserving biopsy for lesions that progress. Management schemes
such as this one can be used to decrease the number of negative wire-
directed biopsies.