S. Welch et Jr. Hibbing, THE EFFECTS OF CHARGES OF CORRUPTION ON VOTING-BEHAVIOR IN CONGRESSIONAL ELECTIONS, 1982-1990, The Journal of politics, 59(1), 1997, pp. 226-239
Fifteen years ago, Peters and Welch investigated the effects of corrup
tion charges on the outcomes of U.S. House elections. Their evidence f
rom 1968 to 1978 indicated that charges generally produced a decline i
n vote share of between 6% and 11%, depending upon the nature of the c
harge. Morals violations were the most consequential for candidates an
d conflict of interest the least. Continuing changes in American polit
ics and the nature of campaigns have made corruption charges even more
common and, indeed, central to many races. In the following research
note, we explore whether the changing nature of congressional campaign
s has altered the magnitude of the effects of corruption charges on co
ngressional election outcomes.