H. Wernli et Hc. Davies, A LAGRANGIAN-BASED ANALYSIS OF EXTRATROPICAL CYCLONES .1. THE METHOD AND SOME APPLICATIONS, Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 123(538), 1997, pp. 467-489
A Lagrangian-based method of analysis is introduced to examine the spa
ce-time structure and dynamics of extratropical cyclogenesis. The thre
e-step method involves the calculation of extensive ensembles of traje
ctories, the evaluation of the Lagrangian time-trace of physical varia
bles along these paths, and the application of objective selection cri
teria to identify significant Lagrangian structures. The approach can
provide a qualitative depiction of, quantitative information about, an
d dynamical insight into, key features of mid-latitude cyclones. In th
is, the first of a two-part study, examples are given of the applicati
on of the method. A case-study approach has been adopted and used to i
dentify coherent ensembles of trajectories (CETs) whose dynamics are s
eminal to an event of Atlantic cyclogenesis, to trace the origin of su
bsynoptic potential vorticity anomalies, and to analyse stratosphere-t
roposphere exchange accompanying extratropical cyclogenesis. In additi
on, a statistical investigation has been made of the climatology of CE
Ts in the northern hemisphere for one particular winter month. Some co
nsideration has been given to the shortcomings and potential of the me
thod, and its complementarity with other approaches.