To meet environmental pollution standards, the operators of industrial
plants must include environmental criteria in their operating objecti
ves. This involves dealing with the variability and uncertainty of nat
ural processes, and requires mathematical modeling to quantify operati
onal effects. An example is given in which optimal operation of a once
-through-cooling power plant is affected by the uncertainty in the hyd
rometeorological conditions that control the heat exchange between the
river water surface and the atmosphere. Real-time optimal control of
the power plant is based on simulations provided by a mathematical mod
el of the fiver thermal regime. It is demonstrated that optimal result
s are achieved when correct information is provided on the uncertainty
in the forecasts of the hydrometeorological conditions. Example study
results arc given for the Joliet, Illinois, power station and hydrome
teorological data for the drought period of July 1988.