G. Winokur et al., A PROSPECTIVE FOLLOW-UP OF PATIENTS WITH BIPOLAR AND PRIMARY UNIPOLARAFFECTIVE-DISORDER, Archives of general psychiatry, 50(6), 1993, pp. 457-465
Objective: As part of the National Institute of Mental Health Collabor
ative Study of the Psychobiology of Depression, the comparative course
of manic depressive (bipolar) and primary unipolar patients was asses
sed. Design: Systematic evaluation using structured instruments every
6 months for a period of 5 years with the recording of remissions, new
episodes, and subsequent hospitalizations. Patients: The number of su
bjects varied somewhat depending on the analyses conducted. For a comp
arison of course in bipolar patients and unipolar patients, 148 bipola
rs were compared with 172 unipolar patients. Results: Both unipolar an
d bipolar patients were more likely to have episodes if they had episo
des prior to index admission. Likewise, prior hospitalizations predict
ed multiple hospitalizations in follow-up. Chronicity was significantl
y more prevalent among unipolar depressives but in both unipolar and b
ipolar patients, chronicity diminished over time. Bipolar patients wer
e more likely than unipolar patients to have multiple episodes at the
2-year and 5-year follow-ups. In bipolar patients, there was no differ
ence in the number of episodes in folloW-Up between males and females
but in unipolar patients, females were significantly more likely to ha
ve subsequent hospitalizations and episodes than males. Treatment vari
ables did not relate to these differences. A family history of mania o
r schizoaffective mania predicted multiple episodes in bipolar patient
s but not in primary unipolar depressives. A family history of all aff
ective illness (mania, schizoaffective mania, bipolar II illness, and
depression) did not predict a multiple-episode course-in either bipola
r or unipolar illness. In unipolar patients, the independent variables
leading to multiple-episode course in follow-up are being female, an
early age of onset, and prior episodes. Conclusions: As a result of th
is systematic follow-up study, new data add to the distinction between
bipolar and primary unipolar patients both as regards number of episo
des in follow-up and also as regards risk factors that are associated
with the multiple-episode course.