MODELING OF ANTHROPOGENIC AND NATURAL CLIMATE CHANGES

The delay of anthropogenic climate change caused by oceans and other s lowly reacting climate system components forces us to numerical modeli ng as the basis of decisions. For three three-dimensional numerical ex amples, namely transient coupled ocean-atmosphere models for the addit ional greenhouse effect, internal ocean-atmosphere variability, and di sturbance by soot particles from burning oil wells, the present-day st atus is described. From all anthropogenic impacts on the radiative bal ance, the contribution from trace gases is the most important.