Human capital earnings functions typically explain a small fraction of
the total variation in earnings. the considerable uncertainty associa
ted with expected future earnings streams enhances the desirability of
a loans scheme for higher education possessing income contingent char
acteristics on the repayment side. The Higher Education Contribution S
cheme (HECS) possesses this feature. The profitability of higher educa
tion even after taking account of the HECS suggests there is scope for
higher student contributions. Other possible modifications to the HEC
S include higher repayment rates, a change to the tax base, and a mini
mum repayment amount.