J. Mcmichael et al., AN INTELLIGENT AND COST-EFFECTIVE COMPUTER DOSING SYSTEM FOR INDIVIDUALIZING FK506 THERAPY IN TRANSPLANTATION AND AUTOIMMUNE DISORDERS, Journal of clinical pharmacology, 33(7), 1993, pp. 599-605
The accuracy and precision of an intelligent dosing system (IDS) for F
K506 in predicting doses to achieve target drug levels has been prospe
ctively evaluated in transplant and autoimmune patients. For dose indi
vidualization, the knowledge base is updated with patient-specific fee
dback including the current dose, drug level, and the new target level
. The study population of 147 patients consisted of 97 transplant pati
ents (liver and kidney) and a 50 patients with autoimmune disorders. P
atients in the transplant study group were entered sequentially and fo
llowed as a cohort. Patients in the autoimmune study group were random
ly assigned to one of three predefined FK506 concentration windows (lo
w, -.1-.3; medium, 0.4-.7; and high, 0.8-1.3 ng/mL) as part of a conce
ntration controlled clinical trial. Predictions of steady-state plasma
drug levels were made throughout the clinical course of autoimmune pa
tients and during the first 6 weeks post-transplant in liver and kidne
y recipients. FK506 concentration in plasma was measured by a monoclon
al antibody based ELISA assay. Accuracy was computed as the mean predi
ction error (mpe). Precision was computed as the root mean squared pre
diction error (rmspe). The accuracy of the IDS in each study group was
as follows: 0.016 ng/mL (liver), -0.034 ng/mL (kidney), and -0.022 ng
/mL (autoimmune). Because the 95% confidence interval included zero in
each case, the IDS showed no bias. The precision of the IDS in each s
tudy group was as follows: 0.133 ng mL (liver), 0.1903 ng/mL (kidney),
and 0.1188 ng/mL (autoimmune). These results indicate that the FK506
IDS is both accurate and very precise (reproducible) in transplant and
autoimmune patients. The performance of the FK506 compares favorably
with previously reported pharmacokinetic dosing methods such as popula
tion nomograms and adaptive control feedback methods (least-squares an
d Bayesian). Based on our findings, this IDS should have a number of i
mportant uses relevant to the drug development process, the prescribin
g physician and the individual patient. It provides an efficient metho
d for implementing concentration controlled clinical trials. It should
accelerate the physician's learning curve while at the same time help
to maximize therapeutic drug efficient and minimize toxicity with dru
gs exhibiting nonlinear kinetics and narrow therapeutic indices. Preli
minary studies suggest that these assets result in a significant cost-
benefit advantage by reducing the duration of hospitalization. Current
studies are in progress to validate this and carefully measure its ph
armacoeconomic impact.