J. Joyce et al., THE PROGNOSIS OF CHRONIC FATIGUE AND CHRONIC FATIGUE SYNDROME - A SYSTEMATIC REVIEW, Quarterly Journal of Medicine, 90(3), 1997, pp. 223-233
The prognosis of chronic fatigue syndrome and chronic fatigue has been
studied in numerous small case series. We performed a systematic revi
ew of all studies to determine the proportion of individuals with the
conditions who recovered at follow-up, the risk of developing alternat
ive physical diagnoses, and the risk factors for poor prognosis. A lit
erature search of all published studies which included a follow-up of
patients with chronic fatigue syndrome or chronic fatigue were perform
ed. Of 26 studies identified, four studied fatigue in children, and fo
und that 54-94% of children recovered over the periods of follow-up. A
nother five studies operationally defined chronic fatigue syndrome in
adults and found that <10% of subjects return to pre-morbid levels of
functioning, and the majority remain significantly impaired. The remai
ning studies used less stringent criteria to define their cohorts. Amo
ng patients in primary care with fatigue lasting <6 months, at least 4
0% of patients improved. As the definition becomes more stringent the
prognosis appears to worsen. Consistently reported risk factors for po
or prognosis are older age, more chronic illness, having a comorbid ps
ychiatric disorder and holding a belief that the illness is due to phy
sical causes.