Jp. Caulkins et R. Padman, QUANTITY DISCOUNTS AND QUALITY PREMIA FOR ILLICIT DRUGS, Journal of the American Statistical Association, 88(423), 1993, pp. 748-757
This article explores quantity discounts and quality (purity) premia i
n the prices of illicit drugs. It examines several models of how drug
prices might depend on transaction size. A simple relation implied by
a tree model of the domestic distribution network fits data provided b
y the Western States Information Network for 1984-1991 quite well for
various illicit drugs. Quality premia are less well explained. It is o
bserved that price is not a function of pure quantity alone; customers
pay more for 2 grams at a given purity than they do for 1 gram at dou
ble that purity. Nevertheless, some purity premia are observed for whi
te heroin, brown heroin, and powder cocaine, although not for methamph
etamines, crack, or heroin tar. The estimated coefficients reflect kno
wn phenomena such as the collapses in the prices of cocaine and black
tar heroin; intuitively reasonable but undocumented phenomena, such as
discounts for brown heroin near the Mexican border; and some unexpect
ed results, such as an apparent difference between the distribution of
sinsemilla and that of other cannabis products.