K. Katsouyanni et al., EVIDENCE FOR INTERACTION BETWEEN AIR-POLLUTION AND HIGH-TEMPERATURE IN THE CAUSATION OF EXCESS MORTALITY, Archives of environmental health, 48(4), 1993, pp. 235-242
Studies have demonstrated repeatedly that air pollution in Athens is a
ssociated with a small but statistically significant increase in morta
lity. Extremely high air temperatures can also cause excess mortality.
This study investigated whether air pollution and air temperature hav
e synergistic effects on excess mortality in Athens. Data concerning t
he increased number of deaths in July 1987 (when a major ''heat wave''
hit Greece) were compared to the deaths in July of the 6 previous yea
rs. This comparison revealed a greater increase in the number of death
s in Athens (97%), compared to all other urban areas (33%) and to all
non-urban areas (27%). Data on the daily levels of smoke, sulfur dioxi
de, and ozone; the number of deaths that occurred daily; and meteorolo
gical variables were collected for a 5-y period. The daily value of Th
om's discomfort index was calculated. Multiple linear regression model
s were used to investigate main and interactive effects of air tempera
ture and Thom's discomfort index and air pollution indices. The daily
number of deaths increased by more than 40 when the mean 24-h air temp
erature exceeded 30-degrees-C. The main effects of an air pollution in
dex are not statistically significant, but the interaction between hig
h levels of air pollution and high temperature (greater-than-or-equal-
to 30-degrees-C) are statistically significant (p < .05) for sulfur di
oxide and are suggestive (p < .20) for ozone and smoke. Similar result
s were obtained when the discomfort index was used, instead of tempera
ture in the models.