A LAGRANGIAN STUDY OF THE ANTARCTIC POLAR VORTEX

We study the dynamics of passively advected tracers in the Antarctic p olar vortex, using the wind fields provided by the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts' (ECMWF) analysis from August to Octob er 1993. Advection on both isopycnal (0.0938 kg/m(3)) and isentropic s urfaces (470 degrees K) is considered. A new definition of the vortex edge, identified as the maximum of kinetic energy, is compared with th e definition based on the maximum gradient of Ertel potential vorticit y. Using the kinetic energy criterion, we study the permeability of th e polar vortex in the framework of the launch strategy of the Stratosp heric Eole (Strateole) polar ozone experiment. We compare the dynamics of balloons launched from the latitudes corresponding to three differ ent possible launching sites for the Strateole experiment, and we prov ide a quantitative estimate of the probability that a passive tracer m ay cross the vortex edge, confirming the strong impermeability of the polar vortex to inward and outward particle motions.