R. Golub et al., A MULTIVARIATE-ANALYSIS OF FACTORS CONTRIBUTING TO LEAKAGE OF INTESTINAL ANASTOMOSES, Journal of the American College of Surgeons, 184(4), 1997, pp. 364-372
BACKGROUND: The study of anastomotic leaks is critically important to
surgeons because morbidity and mortality increase many fold in the aft
ermath of an anastomotic disruption. Previous studies that have attemp
ted to identify significant factors contributing to leakage of intesti
nal anastomoses used animal models or have analyzed retrospective data
using univariate analysis. Our objective was to identify factors cont
ributing to leakage of intestinal anastomoses. STUDY DESIGN: We conduc
ted a retrospective, multivariate analysis of 764 patients who underwe
nt 813 intestinal anastomoses. RESULTS: The overall rate of anastomoti
c leakage was 3.4 percent. No difference was found in rates of leakage
among different techniques of anastomosis or among different anastomo
tic locations. Colonic anastomoses leaked no more frequently than anas
tomoses of the small intestine. Proximal fecal diversion did not decre
ase the frequency of leaks. Multivariate analysis identified six signi
ficant predictive variables: a serum albumin level of less than 3.0 g/
L, use of corticosteroids, peritonitis, bowel obstruction, chronic obs
tructive pulmonary disease, and perioperative transfusion of more than
2 U packed red blood cells. The in-hospital mortality rate in patient
s with and without leaks was 39.3 percent and 7 percent, respectively.
Multivariate analysis showed that anastomotic leaks: were an independ
ent predictor of mortality. CONCLUSIONS: Factors predictive of anastom
otic leaks include chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, peritonitis,
bowel obstruction, malnutrition, use of corticosteroids, and perioper
ative blood transfusion.