T. Akerstedt et S. Folkard, THE 3-PROCESS MODEL OF ALERTNESS AND ITS EXTENSION TO PERFORMANCE, SLEEP LATENCY, AND SLEEP LENGTH, Chronobiology international, 14(2), 1997, pp. 115-123
This paper summarizes a mathematical/computer model for predicting alt
erness/performance in daily living. The model uses sleep data as input
and contains a circadian and a homeostatic component (amount of prior
wake and amount of prior sleep), which are summed to yield predicted
alertness (on a scale between 1 and 16) as well as performance on mono
tonous tasks. The model includes an identification of levels at which
the risk of performance/alertness impairment starts, as well as predic
tion of sleep latency and time of awakening of sleep episodes. It is s
uggested that the model may be used to evaluate work/rest schedules in
terms of sleep-related safety risks.