Tr. Karl et al., RECENT VARIATIONS OF SNOW COVER AND SNOWFALL IN NORTH-AMERICA AND THEIR RELATION TO PRECIPITATION AND TEMPERATURE-VARIATIONS, Journal of climate, 6(7), 1993, pp. 1327-1344
Contemporary large-scale changes in solid and total precipitation and
satellite-derived snow cover were examined over the North American con
tinent. Annual snow cover extent over the last 19 years decreased up t
o 6 x 10(5) km2 relative to a 0.93-degrees-C (0.33-degrees-C) increase
in North American (Northern Hemisphere) temperature. A strong correla
tion exists between snow cover and temperature where up to 78% of the
variance in regional snow cover and snowfall is explained by the anoma
lies of monthly mean maximum temperature. Over the last two decades th
e decrease in snow cover during winter (December-March) has largely oc
curred through reduced frequency of snow cover in areas that typically
have a high probability of snow on the ground with little change in t
he frequency of snow cover in other areas. Similar characteristics wer
e observed during spring (April-May) in areas with high snow cover pro
bability except for an expansion of the snow-free regions. Anomalies i
n these two seasons dominate the interannual variability (nearly three
-fourths of the variance) of snow cover. The apparent unprecedented gl
obal warmth of the 1980s was accompanied by a retreat of the mean annu
al North American snow cover, a 10% increase in annual Alaskan precipi
tation, a significant decrease (-7%) in annual snowfall over southern
Canada (while the total precipitation remained above normal), and a mo
re than twofold increase in the variance of the ratio of frozen to tot
al precipitation over the contiguous United States. An increase (4%-5%
per decade) of both solid and total precipitation over northern Canad
a (zone 55-degrees-70-degrees-N) occurred during the last four decades
. A century-scale increase (1% per decade) of precipitation was found
over southern Canada, but the proportion of the precipitation that fal
ls in frozen form over this area decreased over the last four decades.
Precipitation over the contiguous United States has significantly (2%
-3% per decade) increased during the last four decades, but on a centu
ry time scale the increasing trend is not yet statistically significan
t.