Evidence is accumulating that low androgen concentrations are a cause
of rheumatoid arthritis. This would explain a number of established fe
atures of the epidemiology of the disease. These include: (a) the vari
ation of disease activity with pregnancy; (b) the variation of age at
onset by sex; (c) the variation by sex with HLA-B15; (d) the associati
on with bone mineral density; and (e) the differing time trends in inc
idence rates by sex. It is argued, moreover, that if one makes a plaus
ible assumption-namely, that women who choose oral contraceptives have
high androgen concentrations at the time they first make this choice-
then an explanation becomes available for the confusion about the rela
tion between rheumatoid arthritis and oral contraception. Grounds are
adduced for that assumption. If this line of reasoning is substantiall
y correct it also has implications for the relations between rheumatoi
d arthritis and smoking and consumption of alcohol.