This article analyzes the causes and consequences of the growing propo
rtion of high-school-certified persons who achieve that status by exam
certification rather than through high school graduation. Exam-certif
ied high school equivalents are statistically indistinguishable from h
igh school dropouts. Whatever differences are found among exam-certifi
ed eqiuivalents, high school dropouts and high school graduates are ac
counted for by their years of schooling completed. There is no cheap s
ubstitute for schooling. The only payoff to exam certification arises
from its value in opening postsecondary schooling and training opportu
nities, but completion rates for exam-certified graduates are much low
er in these activities than they are for ordinary graduates.