The authors sought to determine risk for stroke in individuals with sy
mptomatic carotid stenosis or occlusion based upon an assessment of ce
rebral blood flow (CBF) reserves. Vascular reserve was assessed by two
consecutive xenon/computerized tomography (Xe/CT) CBF studies with in
travenous acetazolamide introduced 20 minutes prior to the second stud
y. Patients were assigned t one of two vasoreactivity groups. Group 2
included individuals who experienced a CBF reduction of more than 5% i
n at least one vascular territory and had a baseline flow of 45 cc/100
gm/min or less. Group 1 included all other individuals. Any territory
with volume loss on CT of more than 50% was eliminated from analysis.
Sixty-eight individuals were followed at 6-month intervals for a mean
of 24 months. In Group 1 two strokes were observed contralateral to t
he side with lowest reserve, for a stroke incidence of 4.4%; in Group
2 eight strokes were observed ipsilateral to the side with lowest rese
rve, for a stroke incidence of 36%. The latter group had a 12.6 times
greater chance of stroke (p = 0.0007). History of stroke, history of t
ransient ischemic attacks, baseline CBF, and degree of stenosis were n
ot associated with an increased stroke rate. In this study, significan
tly compromised vascular reserves accompanied by relatively low initia
l flow identified individuals who subsequently demonstrated a signific
antly increased rate of ipsilateral stroke.