Background and Methods. Recent studies have shown that long-term survi
vors of acquired aplastic anemia may be at high risk for malignant dis
eases. We assessed the risk of cancer after aplastic anemia was treate
d with immunosuppression or bone marrow transplantation and sought to
identify risk factors according to treatment. The study population con
sisted of 860 patients treated by immunosuppression and 748 patients w
ho had received bone marrow transplants for the treatment of severe ap
lastic anemia. The risk of cancer was analyzed overall and according t
o treatment relative to the risk in the general population. In calcula
ting relative risk, we excluded patients with myelodysplastic syndrome
s or acute leukemias arising less than 6 months after treatment, and s
olid cancers arising less than 12 months after treatment, because of a
possible association with aplastic anemia itself rather than with the
treatment received. Results. Forty-two malignant conditions were repo
rted in the 860 patients who received immunosuppressive therapy: 19 ca
ses of myelodysplastic syndrome, 15 cases of acute leukemia, 1 case of
non-Hodgkin's lymphoma, and 7 solid tumors. Nine were reported in the
748 patients who received bone marrow transplants: two cases of acute
leukemia and seven solid tumors. After the exclusions listed above, t
he overall relative risk of cancer was 5.50 (P<0.001) as compared with
that in the general European population; the risk was 5.15 (P<0.001)
after immunosuppressive therapy and 6.67 (P<0.001) after transplantati
on. The 10-year cumulative incidence rate of cancer was 18.8 percent a
fter immunosuppressive therapy and 3.1 percent after transplantation.
The risk factors for myelodysplastic syndrome or acute leukemia after
immunosuppressive therapy included the addition of androgens to the im
munosuppressive treatment (relative risk = 0.28), older age (relative
risk = 1.03), treatment in 1982 or later, as compared with 1981 or ear
lier (relative risk = 3.01), splenectomy (relative risk = 3.65), and t
reatment with multiple courses of immunosuppression (relative risk = 2
.26). Risk factors for solid tumors after bone marrow transplantation
were age (relative risk = 1.11 per year) and the use of radiation as a
conditioning regimen before transplantation (relative risk = 9.56); s
uch tumors occurred only in male patients. Conclusions. Survivors of a
plastic anemia are at high risk for subsequent malignant conditions. M
yelodysplastic syndrome and acute leukemia tend to follow immunosuppre
ssive therapy, whereas the incidence of solid tumors is similar after
immunosuppression and after bone marrow transplantation.