Tradeoff studies are the core technology of the system engineer during
the early design effort. The system engineer creates tools to analyze
performance, reliability, human interfaces, and cost. The entire life
of the system is fixed by the system engineers' imagination during th
e initial design. After drawings are released, the principal activitie
s of the system engineer are the resolution of intersubsystem conflict
s and the documentation of delivered products. This paper describes pl
anned and unplanned growth in large-scale systems and offers examples.
(Various kinds of performance analysis tools are described, that are
used for electrical and mechanical systems.) Perfect optimization of c
ost requires the owner to issue bonds to pay for higher quality produc
ts from savings in maintenance and operations. There is a close relati
on between project management, system engineering, proposal preparatio
n, and cost estimating. The design process has been bureaucratized, es
pecially on projects paid for by large noncompetitive organizations. T
he result has been a trend to rote project management by technically i
lliterate lawyers and MBAs. This paper concludes with a projection of
the future of system engineering in information processing, biological
systems, infrastructure, and macroeconomics.