Is hypoinflation good policy?

Citation
W. Simpson et al., Is hypoinflation good policy?, CAN PUBL P, 24(3), 1998, pp. 291-308
Citations number
14
Categorie Soggetti
Politucal Science & public Administration
Journal title
CANADIAN PUBLIC POLICY-ANALYSE DE POLITIQUES
ISSN journal
03170861 → ACNP
Volume
24
Issue
3
Year of publication
1998
Pages
291 - 308
Database
ISI
SICI code
0317-0861(199809)24:3<291:IHGP>2.0.ZU;2-C
Abstract
One argument against a policy to achieve absolute price stability is that w orkers resist pay cuts. We examine several Canadian microdata sources and c orroborate earlier evidence of pay-cut resistance, particularly recently as inflation has approached zero. We then use data on industrial sectors to e stimate that pay-cut resistance reduced employment growth by from 0.6 to 1. 5 percent per annum from 1993 to 1995. We also estimate a model of wage set tlements, treating pay freezes and pay cuts as censored data, which implies that pay-cut resistance may have increased the annual unemployment rate by as much as 2 percent during the same period. In view of these results, the case for very low inflation targets should be reexamined.