Ab. Kostinski et Ar. Jameson, Fluctuation properties of precipitation. Part III: On the ubiquity and emergence of the exponential drop size spectra, J ATMOS SCI, 56(1), 1999, pp. 111-121
Negative-exponential distributions have been used to characterize raindrop
size spectra since the earliest experiments in the 1940s and it is by now w
ell established that they emerge in a limit as progressively more space and
/or time averaging is performed. A simple probability factorization argumen
t is used to discuss a statistical interpretation of the ubiquity of the ex
ponential size spectra and its emergence in the limit of extensive averagin
g. The authors employ the "patchy" rain approach and the associated non-Poi
ssonian counting statistics, developed in the previous two papers of this s
equence, to elucidate the "asymptotic" conditions required for the emergenc
e of the limit distribution and to explain such observations as the ''Waldv
ogel N-0 jumps,'' relatively rapid emergence of the exponential spectra in
exceptionally steady rain, strong deviations of the "instantaneous" distrib
utions from the average shape, and the fact that exponential spectra are se
ldom seen in individual rain events. Computer simulations and data analyses
are also presented to support our interpretation of these phenomena.