A drug release process by the oral route is random in nature and thus is su
bject to constant fluctuations. Moreover, individuals have varied tolerance
s to such fluctuations. The objective of this work is to characterize these
fluctuations by a stochastic formalism. The system under consideration, i.
e., the gastrointestinal tract consists of four consecutive compartments, i
.e., stomach, duodenum, jejunum, and ileum. The master equation of the syst
em as well as the governing equations for the means, variances, and covaria
nces of the random variables, each representing the number of microspheres
in an individual compartment, have been derived through the probabilistic p
opulation balance. These equations have been numerically solved to predict
the total release fraction of drug and its internal fluctuations, and the d
ynamic statistics (means, variances, and covariances) of the amount of drug
in each compartment at any time after administration. The dissolution-inte
nsity functions in the model have been recovered from the available in vitr
o dissolution data from controlled-release pellets of isosorbide-5-nitrate
(IS-5-N) by assuming that the rate of release is of the first order. The re
sidence times and transition-intensity functions of drug in the individual
compartments have been estimated from the available data generated by the g
amma scintigraphies of IS-5-N pellets labeled by In-111. Based on these par
ameters, the total numbers of dissolved drug microspheres and their fluctua
tions at any instance have been calculated. The model is in accord with the
existing in vivo dissolution data of the same drug independently obtained
through plasma analysis. More important, the model predicts that fluctuatio
ns in terms of the standard deviations of the numbers of particles in the d
uodenum, jejunum, and ileum can be of the same orders of magnitude as the c
orresponding mean numbers when 100 microspheres are simultaneously administ
ered orally; in practice, such fluctuations characterized by these deviatio
ns could result in an undesirable release profile. Discussion is given of t
he potential direct clinical application of the results obtained as well as
the plausible indirect application of these results and the model derived
to the analyses of chemical and biochemical reactors. (C) 1998 Elsevier Sci
ence S.A. All rights reserved.