Results of immunoassays for which no positive standards are available are o
ften expressed as endpoint titers. The endpoint titer is defined as the rec
iprocal of the highest analyte dilution that gives a reading above the cuto
ff. Unfortunately, there is no generally accepted rule for the determinatio
n of these cutoff values. In enzyme-linked immunosorbent assays (ELISA) a v
alue two or three times the mean background or negative control reading is
sometimes used. Other investigators set the cutoff arbitrarily at a certain
absorbance value. These procedures do not provide statistically meaningful
information about the risk of overtitration or false low titers. We have s
olved this problem by devising a practical method for establishing a statis
tically valid cutoff. The procedure involves calculating the upper predicti
on limit using the Student t-distribution. The mathematical formula which d
efines the upper prediction limit is expressed as the standard deviation mu
ltiplied by a factor which is based on the number of negative controls and
the confidence level (1 - alpha). Appropriate factors are provided for 2 to
30 negative controls and for confidence levels ranging from 95% to 99.9%.
Our new method is more reliable than other nonstatistical procedures yet do
es not require sophisticated computation. It can be applied to a variety of
immunoassays provided that negative controls are available. (C) 1998 Elsev
ier Science B.V. All rights reserved.