Subjunctive conditionals and revealed preference

Authors
Citation
B. Skyrms, Subjunctive conditionals and revealed preference, PHILOS SCI, 65(4), 1998, pp. 545-574
Citations number
48
Categorie Soggetti
Philosiphy
Journal title
PHILOSOPHY OF SCIENCE
ISSN journal
00318248 → ACNP
Volume
65
Issue
4
Year of publication
1998
Pages
545 - 574
Database
ISI
SICI code
0031-8248(199812)65:4<545:SCARP>2.0.ZU;2-W
Abstract
Subjunctive conditionals are fundamental to rational decision both in singl e agent and multiple agent decision problems. They need explicit analysis o nly when they cause problems, as they do in recent discussions of rationali ty in extensive form games. This paper examines subjunctive conditionals in the theory of games using a strict revealed preference interpretation of u tility. Two very different models of games are investigated, the classical model and the limits of reality model. In the classical model the logic of backward induction is valid, but it does not use subjunctive conditionals; the relevant subjunctive conditionals do not even make sense. In the limits of reality model the subjunctive conditionals do make sense but backward i nduction is valid only under special assumptions.